Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x866da179ce165cd4ea48299195f51476d7ccc5cec9d0ec3ceb7671097f8f6059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bellarmine Knightsof Lipscomb Bisons, Bellarmine Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lipscomb Bisons | 53c | 611,269$324,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324,434.37 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bellarmine Knights | 47c | 200,000$94,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,400 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 140,151$66,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,555.87 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 84,898$46,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,693.7 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 60,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 20,120$9,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,461.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.4 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 10,757$5,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 10,000$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 47c | 6,543$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bellarmine Knights | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 2,020$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.05 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 1,339$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 1,227$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Lipscomb Bisons | 57c | 1,094$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.59 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 366.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 362.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Bellarmine Knights | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Bellarmine Knights | 51c | 229$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bellarmine Knights | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bellarmine Knights | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Bellarmine Knights | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Lipscomb Bisons | 54c | 148.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Lipscomb Bisons | 58c | 126.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 122.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Bellarmine Knights | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 119.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 84.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 56c | 83.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Lipscomb Bisons | 56c | 75.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Lipscomb Bisons | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 58.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 44c | 57.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 56.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lipscomb Bisons | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Lipscomb Bisons | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Bellarmine Knights | 47c | 47.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 39.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Bellarmine Knights | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Bellarmine Knights | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bellarmine Knights | 45c | 33.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Bellarmine Knights | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Bellarmine Knights | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…e196backed Lipscomb Bisons | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 24.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-10.5)this page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Lipscomb BisonsLipscomb Bisons won
- Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-9.5)Lipscomb Bisons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.