TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Liam Draxl

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Liam Draxl
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafac…8730backed Jesper de Jong59c9,414$5,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.0724631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Jesper de Jong57c4,565$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96565651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Draxl29c4,136$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liam Draxl41c3,317$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.879,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Jesper de Jong79c2,819$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.411,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Liam Draxl36c2,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Liam Draxl31c2,692$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.024,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jesper de Jong79c2,520$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.5594968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Liam Draxl34c1,160$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Liam Draxl23c1,124$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Liam Draxl23c1,002$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.171,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Liam Draxl40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa216…3055backed Liam Draxl42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jesper de Jong76c999.97$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Liam Draxl22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jesper de Jong69c849.9$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.261,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jesper de Jong67c752.75$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.434,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Jesper de Jong77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16119651.5%101 W · 95 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a75…4342backed Jesper de Jong70c639.89$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.972857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Jesper de Jong79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9128562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Liam Draxl38c610.83$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.294,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Jesper de Jong71c598.43$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4318445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Liam Draxl23c499.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9917352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Liam Draxl44c490$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.341,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Liam Draxl25c449.18$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Jesper de Jong76c419.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.591,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Liam Draxl37c419.52$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.091,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6800…b2cbbacked Jesper de Jong70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Jesper de Jong53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3635755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Liam Draxl43c347.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.63,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Liam Draxl24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jesper de Jong76c312.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.865,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Liam Draxl33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Liam Draxl17c294.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Liam Draxl33c281.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8732240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Liam Draxl46c272.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.571,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…4778backed Liam Draxl26c272.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705740.4%23 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…a4c4backed Jesper de Jong74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Jesper de Jong75c268.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.441,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Jesper de Jong77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.749666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Jesper de Jong75c259.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0152155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Jesper de Jong62c256.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…adb8backed Liam Draxl24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Liam Draxl22c249.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Jesper de Jong77c220.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.787163.4%45 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc39e…b58bbacked Jesper de Jong78c217.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Liam Draxl29c208.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4241535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Liam Draxl49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Jesper de Jong72c201.65$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.654463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jesper de Jong52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Liam Draxl37c173.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.319,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf6…8b41backed Jesper de Jong73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jesper de Jong77c152$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.967,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Liam Draxl23c150.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.563,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Liam Draxl29c136.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0198841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Jesper de Jong66c134.56$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1934847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Jesper de Jong54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6359440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Liam Draxl34c121.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.662,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb5…55f6backed Jesper de Jong60c114$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jesper de Jong77c113.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.091,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Liam Draxl43c109.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.210232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd375…d575backed Jesper de Jong65c107$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-61.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Jesper de Jong79c102.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5319553.3%104 W · 91 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Liam Draxl49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047234.7%164 W · 308 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jesper de Jong76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Jesper de Jong78c96.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5820670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Liam Draxl19c96.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.343450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Liam Draxl26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Liam Draxl33c82.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liam Draxl24c79.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.248,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Liam Draxl22c71.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8609…a968backed Liam Draxl20c70.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.026946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Liam Draxl22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511832.2%38 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Liam Draxl40c66.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Jesper de Jong61c65.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3892145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Jesper de Jong72c65.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4183047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Jesper de Jong72c64.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1511249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Liam Draxl46c57.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.353,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Jesper de Jong57c55.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9265346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Jesper de Jong66c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Liam Draxl20c52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.468338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Jesper de Jong77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9516358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Jesper de Jong77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9520158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Jesper de Jong77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Liam Draxl42c50.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5112737.8%48 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda1…7b5ebacked Jesper de Jong79c50.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.332857.1%16 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Liam Draxl23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jesper de Jong76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Draxl37c49.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.417,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Liam Draxl42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204637%17 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Jesper de Jong60c47.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.968450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Jesper de Jong77c43.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0269051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Jesper de Jong66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.422,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Jesper de Jong71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Draxl24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Jesper de Jong61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Jesper de Jong57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2512664.3%81 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6e54backed Jesper de Jong52c39.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6b…ee66backed Jesper de Jong59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Jesper de Jong78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4667852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.