Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875a2c00bdbb8c75c04d7c2b4b75ec420f542f1ead898b327152ec513707b280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 64c | 3,626$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.05 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 2,017$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.54 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 1,310$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.19 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 1,052$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 833$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 22c | 775.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 646.91$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 406.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 398.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 314.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 38c | 274.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 34c | 200.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 101.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 55c | 95.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 78.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 46c | 62.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 61.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Under | 41c | 51.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 65c | 40.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 57c | 36.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 70c | 24.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 49c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: Houston Dynamo O/U 2.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.