Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e83754c174cfbd42fce8354df502b651ba228cb3a3a91d5cd992abb0de330e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keegan Smithof Guido Justo, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 5c | 10,391$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.51 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 40c | 3,279$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.61 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guido Justo | 56c | 1,537$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.68 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 1,332$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keegan Smith | 76c | 1,284$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 1,180$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.58 | 785 | 40.6%319 W · 466 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Guido Justo | 47c | 1,080$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.91 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Guido Justo | 21c | 1,006$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Guido Justo | 53c | 806.34$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 600$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 526.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 434.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…0119backed Guido Justo | 5c | 424.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith | 61c | 345.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Keegan Smith | 40c | 320.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Keegan Smith | 51c | 296.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Guido Justo | 54c | 246$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Keegan Smith | 49c | 244.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 238.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Guido Justo | 59c | 217.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Keegan Smith | 40c | 205.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guido Justo | 58c | 189.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 159.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Keegan Smith | 47c | 147$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Keegan Smith | 37c | 141.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Guido Justo | 35c | 119.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith | 51c | 109.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Keegan Smith | 47c | 109.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Keegan Smith | 75c | 105.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith | 72c | 105.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guido Justo | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Guido Justo | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Keegan Smith | 56c | 93.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith | 46c | 91.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 61c | 89.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guido Justo | 56c | 82.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keegan Smith | 50c | 79.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Guido Justo | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 499 | 57.5%287 W · 212 L | +29.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 67.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Guido Justo | 46c | 65.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…da7abacked Keegan Smith | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 62.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Keegan Smith | 71c | 59.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Guido Justo | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Keegan Smith | 69c | 50.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Guido Justo | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keegan Smith | 57c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guido Justo | 62c | 47.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Guido Justo | 50c | 45.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Keegan Smith | 45c | 44.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keegan Smith | 72c | 44.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Guido Justo | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Guido Justo | 50c | 40.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 39.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Guido Justo | 44c | 38.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Guido Justo | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Guido Justo | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Guido Justo | 44c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Guido Justo | 63c | 29.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Keegan Smith | 43c | 28.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Keegan Smith | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Guido Justo | 60c | 27.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 370 | 53.8%199 W · 171 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Keegan Smith | 52c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Keegan Smith | 45c | 24.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Guido Justo | 55c | 23.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Guido Justo | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Guido Justo | 63c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brasov: Guido Justo vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Justo vs SmithSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.