TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Pirates, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$657,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Twins58c551,845$318,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233,549.4110844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates35c241,595$84,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,828.8186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates42c67,051$28,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,432.051,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Pirates42c65,162$27,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,543.4813262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates42c50,538$21,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,220.5448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates43c40,899$17,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,586.511,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates42c30,000$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,70097950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Pirates43c24,580$10,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,569.412650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates43c15,100$6,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4271,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Pirates42c11,505$4,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.323545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pirates42c10,010$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates43c10,000$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates44c7,159$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.322,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates43c5,653$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.791,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates31c4,600$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.659,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pirates42c4,488$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.9695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates43c3,931$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.3373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates0c3,666$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Twins57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7728646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Twins58c3,422$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.0324154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Pirates42c3,400$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42814446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pirates42c3,292$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.6818748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates42c3,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins56c2,996$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.2560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates1c2,552$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates24c2,360$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates2c2,026$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pirates44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6609843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pirates4c1,405$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates43c1,194$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.575,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Twins61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3907542.7%32 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd00b…e3fdbacked Twins57c870$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb9…2393backed Pirates43c850$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Twins55c599.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates42c478.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pirates3c453.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9517927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Pirates44c358.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.425952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Twins63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4618155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pirates44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.191,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Pirates44c230.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates43c179.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.381,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Twins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5731356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Twins57c174.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins57c155.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.881,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Twins57c129.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.157545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d1…5129backed Pirates22c127.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pirates43c124.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7456440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates39c121$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins55c105.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed Twins68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Pirates43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4317139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Pirates45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Pirates43c98.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6466250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pirates39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.121,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Twins60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb3…8d4bbacked Twins58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates42c63.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.819742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Pirates45c60.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates37c60.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.984,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Twins55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.550447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Pirates42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2118052.8%95 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Pirates45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca1…050fbacked Twins58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates44c33.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7642955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Pirates46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates43c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Pirates43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Twins71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1730242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2a…20fbbacked Pirates44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pirates43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7543542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pirates42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins55c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.