MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b553e9d3a68520decd042674a2efb94435292584280ea64e51f4718b869b6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,987$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.36 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,371$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.31 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,257$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 816.12$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 714.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 564.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 564.53$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 487.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 476.52$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 308.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 307.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 298.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 289.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 243.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 229.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 226.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 168.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 161.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 126.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 126.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Atlanta Braves | 23c | 103.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 81.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 77.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 76.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 72.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Atlanta Braves | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 58.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 52.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 50.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 45.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 33.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 32.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 24.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.