Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd1a3865dfc0a2e9fc7ad4118c0d3a3d5190673e2eab5231816f99f899079fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 65c | 18,757$12,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 9,678$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.07 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 35c | 9,264$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.03 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 66c | 9,241$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 34c | 7,082$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.68 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 5,034$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.58 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,201$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.34 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 3,775$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.7 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 3,403$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.43 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 1,951$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 1,728$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.55 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 1,711$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.59 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 35c | 1,601$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 38c | 1,546$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 35c | 937$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.95 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 66c | 627.72$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 38c | 618.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 34c | 606.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 67c | 587.75$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 584.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 499.6$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 16c | 439$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 438.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 302.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 62c | 299.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 40c | 160.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 129.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 34c | 115.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 40c | 110.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Yes | 64c | 105.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 64c | 103.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed No | 37c | 86.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 77.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 35c | 74.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 64c | 74.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 65c | 48.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 67c | 47.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 34c | 46.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Yes | 63c | 46.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 44.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 34c | 31.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 67c | 30.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 35c | 29.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 64c | 18.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 415 | 22.2%92 W · 323 L | -53.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Yes | 67c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.