World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d72cccd032249d513be2fb6b2491b3ed9601d78516e05950ae1359f786ec3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 9c | 1,012$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 971.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed No | 77c | 735.02$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed Yes | 24c | 560.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 25c | 496.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 441.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 28c | 435.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 426.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 339.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 318.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 7c | 294.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 282.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 268$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 5c | 216.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 75c | 171.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…6f69backed No | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 13c | 154.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 24c | 151.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 27c | 141.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 124.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…271dbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +214%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 25c | 118.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 78c | 117.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 76c | 108.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 78c | 106.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 24c | 93.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 33c | 84.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 23c | 82.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 78.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 72.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…bfebbacked Yes | 37c | 72.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…8487backed No | 74c | 67.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 71c | 61.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…63a4backed Yes | 27c | 60.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 60.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 31c | 59.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 73c | 54.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 78c | 51.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 48.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…697fbacked Yes | 24c | 42.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 40.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 39.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 73c | 35.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 29.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 78c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 24.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 22.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…2f62backed No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…bd22backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…9e0cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked No | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d575backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 76c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.