Tennis · resolved market
Grass Court Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Rebeka Masarova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x903194dd9b69f40a3f1bc68c6f0651742ab5430121b9521a68023200419e25ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katerina Siniakovaof Katerina Siniakova, Rebeka Masarova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katerina Siniakova | 75c | 14,227$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.81 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 8c | 8,899$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.43 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rebeka Masarova | 11c | 3,934$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 3,078$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.7 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebeka Masarova | 26c | 2,925$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.01 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rebeka Masarova | 22c | 2,533$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.97 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rebeka Masarova | 24c | 2,455$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Rebeka Masarova | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 1,626$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.74 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Rebeka Masarova | 38c | 1,408$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Rebeka Masarova | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Katerina Siniakova | 75c | 353.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Katerina Siniakova | 65c | 307.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 270.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rebeka Masarova | 7c | 258.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Katerina Siniakova | 73c | 235$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Rebeka Masarova | 36c | 220.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rebeka Masarova | 23c | 208.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 201$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Katerina Siniakova | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Katerina Siniakova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rebeka Masarova | 24c | 120.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Katerina Siniakova | 75c | 115.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rebeka Masarova | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Katerina Siniakova | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Rebeka Masarova | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Rebeka Masarova | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Rebeka Masarova | 27c | 97.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Katerina Siniakova | 75c | 96.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 95.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Rebeka Masarova | 36c | 95.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Katerina Siniakova | 64c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 444 | 52.5%233 W · 211 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Katerina Siniakova | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Katerina Siniakova | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Rebeka Masarova | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Rebeka Masarova | 24c | 73.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Rebeka Masarova | 35c | 71.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Katerina Siniakova | 62c | 64.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Rebeka Masarova | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Katerina Siniakova | 73c | 59.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Rebeka Masarova | 36c | 57.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rebeka Masarova | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 51.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Katerina Siniakova | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Katerina Siniakova | 73c | 43.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Rebeka Masarova | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Katerina Siniakova | 71c | 39.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Katerina Siniakova | 71c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rebeka Masarova | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Katerina Siniakova | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Katerina Siniakova | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Katerina Siniakova | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.