MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fa260c42c098096fee87f633a6a2202980f094e8d336cdba28d84c062d6ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Boston Red Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,807 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 8,930$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.63 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 8,691$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.52 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 3,105$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.17 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 2,621$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,966$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.67 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,224$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.7 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,127$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.2 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,080$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 918.63$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 787.8$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 758.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 582$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 558.42$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 547$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 547$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 512.45$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 381$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 315.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 254.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 217$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 192.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 166.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 159.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 150.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 143.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 122.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 118$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 109.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 104.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 83.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 47.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 45.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…4292backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 34.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 32.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 29.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 29.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ac…ba80backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.