CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92720b99cdf9e982345b12b62d0610324d804239239182f8e304011992dc40ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Over | 45c | 20,985$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,585.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 58c | 2,471$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.06 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 42c | 2,379$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.97 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 59c | 1,701$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.78 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,527$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 57c | 1,122$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.82 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Under | 59c | 1,011$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.49 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.25 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 27c | 939.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 796.48$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 70c | 691.13$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 39c | 657.92$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…a5b1backed Over | 43c | 581.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 46c | 500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 33c | 476.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 38c | 437.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over | 64c | 365.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 61c | 363.09$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 37c | 331.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Over | 73c | 324.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Under | 35c | 283.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 41c | 268.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 76c | 255.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 227.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 205.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 26c | 174.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 37c | 156.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 40c | 154.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 70c | 146.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 69c | 140.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 57c | 131.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 64c | 121.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Over | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 39c | 94.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 27c | 92.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 40c | 87.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 52c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 38c | 80.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 60c | 75.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 455 | 38.2%174 W · 281 L | -29.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 34c | 63.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 52.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 49.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 59c | 46.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Under | 28c | 40.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ed12backed Under | 37c | 36.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Over | 42c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Over | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…e5d9backed Over | 62c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 58c | 23.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…4fa8backed Over | 77c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 77c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.