Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolzano: Alexander Weis vs Nicola Rispoli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942305ee0fff759e79a2bd118e42345a5746dea5e093f028abb75e0e49fe84b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Weisof Alexander Weis, Nicola Rispoli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexander Weis | 23c | 5,303$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicola Rispoli | 73c | 4,984$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicola Rispoli | 32c | 1,500$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alexander Weis | 27c | 843.1$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alexander Weis | 27c | 662.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.82 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nicola Rispoli | 37c | 541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Nicola Rispoli | 55c | 425$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicola Rispoli | 67c | 372.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nicola Rispoli | 77c | 365.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Alexander Weis | 36c | 315.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Alexander Weis | 33c | 314.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alexander Weis | 61c | 233.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexander Weis | 24c | 228.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Alexander Weis | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Alexander Weis | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexander Weis | 60c | 190.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nicola Rispoli | 59c | 165.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Alexander Weis | 41c | 161.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alexander Weis | 23c | 158.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alexander Weis | 22c | 148$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Weis | 32c | 140.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nicola Rispoli | 46c | 113.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nicola Rispoli | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Nicola Rispoli | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nicola Rispoli | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexander Weis | 64c | 94.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicola Rispoli | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexander Weis | 53c | 76.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nicola Rispoli | 58c | 75.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nicola Rispoli | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Nicola Rispoli | 51c | 74.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…1d4abacked Alexander Weis | 41c | 73.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Nicola Rispoli | 59c | 73.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nicola Rispoli | 44c | 72.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alexander Weis | 23c | 69.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nicola Rispoli | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alexander Weis | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Nicola Rispoli | 72c | 55.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Nicola Rispoli | 42c | 47.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Nicola Rispoli | 78c | 47.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…9bbbbacked Nicola Rispoli | 26c | 43.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Nicola Rispoli | 63c | 42.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nicola Rispoli | 63c | 38.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alexander Weis | 54c | 35.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Alexander Weis | 39c | 33.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nicola Rispoli | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Alexander Weis | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alexander Weis | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Nicola Rispoli | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alexander Weis | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alexander Weis | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Nicola Rispoli | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.