MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945bc389045cedc852ede2c785fb77e4880b0cd7ab1d4e8b252b3dc00814c9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 19c | 14,266$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.94 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 4c | 11,861$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rays | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.51 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Rays | 15c | 5,855$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.3 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 20c | 5,272$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Rays | 45c | 4,955$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 46c | 4,136$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.53 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 31c | 3,133$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 46c | 2,963$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.9 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rays | 49c | 2,737$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Rays | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Rays | 12c | 2,432$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 55c | 1,904$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 21c | 1,826$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.66 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,725$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.46 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 46c | 1,719$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.36 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Orioles | 47c | 1,560$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…c8babacked Rays | 53c | 1,560$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Orioles | 76c | 1,529$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 65c | 1,450$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 2c | 1,011$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Orioles | 57c | 937.19$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rays | 47c | 870.65$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rays | 54c | 747.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Rays | 14c | 721.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…a553backed Rays | 54c | 686.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Orioles | 48c | 669.2$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 27c | 580$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 51c | 542.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…0df9backed Orioles | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 52c | 476.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 55c | 474.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Rays | 53c | 449.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 47c | 429.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 46c | 425.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 45c | 404.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 46c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 47c | 385.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 25c | 356.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 47c | 333$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 10c | 312.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Orioles | 46c | 298.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 53c | 297.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Rays | 5c | 282.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 25c | 280$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 17c | 224$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 39c | 217.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 53c | 211$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Rays | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rays | 54c | 200.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 53c | 188.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Rays | 7c | 187.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rays | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Rays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 54c | 158.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Orioles | 46c | 153.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 76c | 150.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Orioles | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Rays | 15c | 134.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Rays | 15c | 128.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 47c | 109.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…b096backed Orioles | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…b957backed Orioles | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…1915backed Orioles | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…4b67backed Rays | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…984bbacked Rays | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…57b3backed Rays | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 46c | 100.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Rays | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rays | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rays | 15c | 97.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…d21ebacked Orioles | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83e…344cbacked Rays | 53c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…eda3backed Rays | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…686dbacked Orioles | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 48c | 83.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Rays | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rays | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…0bc0backed Orioles | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Rays | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…31d4backed Rays | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…dcc2backed Rays | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Orioles | 75c | 73.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Rays | 47c | 73.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Orioles | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Rays | 54c | 70.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.