TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

DePaul Blue Demons vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under61c25,606$15,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.6160949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over39c19,959$7,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,798.961,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over40c4,760$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.871,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under59c4,466$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.2630139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over38c2,834$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.442,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over41c2,284$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.4484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over40c1,436$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over25c566.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Over41c532.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over41c466.63$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c324.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.553,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over40c198.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3374152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over38c172.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6235852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over41c171.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c148.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over18c120.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.682,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Over42c107.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.977045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2918241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over40c99.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over35c99.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.728372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over45c98.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over39c90.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under61c80.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.091942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Over41c79.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.634843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96c…733cbacked Under60c79.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8113448.5%65 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under60c64.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0626550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over42c52.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.078055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over42c39.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.666446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over41c38.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7612141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over47c27.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314143.3%61 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.