Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95220ec3eed07d367ae2b63571816a379b3e005f7cf674fa64a33856bbf58b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 786.89$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.75 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 52c | 700.9$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 20c | 409.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 13c | 336.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 57c | 240.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 49c | 211.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 196$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…a4dfbacked Yes | 80c | 178.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 151.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 141.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 51c | 130.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 129.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed No | 48c | 112.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 53c | 105.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 34c | 98.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 55c | 80.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 48c | 71.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 51c | 68.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 68.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 66.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 45c | 66.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 64.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 49c | 59.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…a731backed Yes | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 69c | 51.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 50.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…e08cbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 65c | 48.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 48.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 42.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 72c | 40.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 52c | 39.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 33c | 38.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 48c | 38.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 32.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 59.8%122 W · 82 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 53c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 65c | 27.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 27.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked No | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 50c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 72c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…d5c6backed No | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 45c | 26.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 65c | 23.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 72c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 78c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 62c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 62c | 17.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…d99abacked No | 66c | 15.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.