Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Thiago Monteiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958a385d399371503f0246144d2a0a7f07b644271f6df9c1a889ff818828e734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dellienof Dellien, Monteiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Monteiro | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.84 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Dellien | 43c | 4,059$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.63 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Dellien | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dellien | 65c | 2,253$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.1 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Monteiro | 26c | 2,215$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.35 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Dellien | 75c | 1,694$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Dellien | 43c | 1,665$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.89 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Monteiro | 12c | 1,184$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Dellien | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Monteiro | 59c | 952.57$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Dellien | 45c | 898.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.52 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Monteiro | 8c | 853.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dellien | 75c | 614$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dellien | 42c | 562.3$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monteiro | 40c | 531.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monteiro | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Dellien | 79c | 290$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Dellien | 41c | 242.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Dellien | 43c | 227.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Monteiro | 57c | 146$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Monteiro | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dellien | 56c | 119.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Dellien | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Monteiro | 57c | 105.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Monteiro | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dellien | 42c | 78.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Dellien | 74c | 78.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Monteiro | 23c | 77.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Monteiro | 58c | 76.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monteiro | 21c | 76.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Monteiro | 22c | 69.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dellien | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dellien | 49c | 64.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dellien | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…247dbacked Monteiro | 58c | 52.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…711fbacked Dellien | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…ef02backed Dellien | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Monteiro | 57c | 39.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Monteiro | 60c | 38.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Monteiro | 57c | 34.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Monteiro | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…7ff8backed Monteiro | 59c | 34.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dellien | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dellien | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Dellien | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Dellien | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Dellien | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Dellien | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Dellien | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dellien | 71c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Thiago Monteirothis page
- Dellien vs. Monteiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.