CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f728c5a927cb921ad18cbbee37fb2a78e7555019ba2d816a39fcdc0cb90b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 35c | 4,027$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.33 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 2,703$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.93 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 29c | 2,294$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 1,420$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 71c | 1,412$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.52 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 28c | 666.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 71c | 577.91$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Under | 72c | 472.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 72c | 258.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…0261backed Over | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed Under | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 67 | 73.1%49 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…23bdbacked Over | 35c | 165.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 114.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 65c | 113.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 72c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed Over | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…1c8cbacked Over | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 66.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 31c | 56.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…4d11backed Over | 32c | 55.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 26c | 51.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Under | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…3a4cbacked Over | 32c | 39.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Under | 71c | 38.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 66cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…9c47backed Under | 73c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed Over | 51c | 28.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…3a6ebacked Under | 76c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs DENDELE CS (+6.5)DENDELE CS won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs DENDELE CS (+6.5)DENDELE CS won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.