Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963953df7911eb46d9f0665755c29acd5c4769d39ba7b9a5a697d163b39fb3a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 57c | 3,528$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.04 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.45 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 1,165$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 64c | 832.96$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.58 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 36c | 652.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.13 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 71c | 549.72$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 525.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 57c | 493.63$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 48c | 465.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Under | 56c | 339.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 44c | 317.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 41c | 293.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 48c | 288.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 9c | 276$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 30c | 267.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 263$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 27c | 187.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 74c | 152.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 145.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 57c | 131.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Under | 44c | 82.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 30c | 65.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Over | 58c | 65.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 63c | 53.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 55c | 48.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 57c | 44.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Under | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 35c | 43.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 60c | 42.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 355 | 60.8%216 W · 139 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 31c | 40.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 35c | 38.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 42c | 30.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 60c | 20.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…5f45backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 14.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.