MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96dd9f873ec920b870ef7eb94819220f287abedca0a7a203e735230f182a62a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 46c | 217,391$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.85 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,399.99 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 54c | 45,844$24,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,088.06 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 30,537$16,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,047 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 21,058$11,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,687.45 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 19,760$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,088.74 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 12,709$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.76 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 54c | 4,791$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.91 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,109$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.78 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 46c | 1,800$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 48c | 900$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 805$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 50c | 608.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.96 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 555.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 484$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 481.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 455.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 34c | 449.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Over | 43c | 443.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 380.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 41c | 368.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 46c | 239.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 190.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 190$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 42c | 186.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…f0e9backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 120.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 106.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 106.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 103.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 54c | 102.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 97.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 55c | 90.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 54c | 85.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 44c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 66c | 81.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 71.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 74c | 67.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Over | 21c | 61.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 52.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 44.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 68c | 39.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 69c | 39.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 42c | 38.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 46c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 55c | 29.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 45c | 27.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 69c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 71c | 22.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Under | 74c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.