NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9751b19ebd5e2ca0c8f7631fa02e7bc76fceeaacb3afd6c5ebeb23f93044d89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Pelicans, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 223,359$41,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,559.96 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…377ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans | 16c | 15,675$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.97 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 12c | 5,094$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 3,976$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.12 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 2c | 3,673$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 16c | 2,865$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans | 16c | 2,469$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,825$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…9bf2backed Pelicans | 17c | 608.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 17c | 571$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans | 16c | 566.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Pelicans | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans | 10c | 465.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Spurs | 79c | 418.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pelicans | 16c | 417.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…94c2backed Pelicans | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pelicans | 17c | 338$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Spurs | 80c | 230.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pelicans | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Pelicans | 16c | 225.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…33a6backed Pelicans | 24c | 207.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pelicans | 19c | 199.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 16c | 198.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…a336backed Pelicans | 19c | 195.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 714 | 37.3%266 W · 448 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pelicans | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Pelicans | 12c | 147.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans | 17c | 140.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Pelicans | 16c | 118.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed Pelicans | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Pelicans | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…49a3backed Pelicans | 17c | 112.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…2044backed Pelicans | 17c | 112.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…d55fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pelicans | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…4fdabacked Pelicans | 18c | 110.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ef51backed Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879f…8417backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e5cebacked Pelicans | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…6638backed Pelicans | 24c | 84.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 13c | 83.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Pelicans | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Pelicans | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Spurs | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Pelicans | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 148 | 30.4%45 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Pelicans | 17c | 69.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Spurs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.