MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9838557a5a7a38bf90d9fef61c5bf6c067062e0731cd816b614b2918663e7116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 39c | 2,717$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 37c | 2,224$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.86 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 62c | 1,954$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.67 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 62c | 1,158$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.71 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 35c | 1,032$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Over | 42c | 994.98$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 36c | 735.2$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 673.34$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 63c | 625.68$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 36c | 497.34$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 402.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 383.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 373$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 38c | 367.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 60c | 349.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 264.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 36c | 221.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Over | 43c | 220.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 57c | 155.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 65c | 150.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 123.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 38c | 121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 64c | 108.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 64c | 107.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 36c | 105.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 58c | 102.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 69c | 96.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 36c | 95.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 63c | 93.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 63c | 89.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 41c | 85.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 41c | 76.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 73.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 58c | 65.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked Over | 39c | 63.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Over | 45c | 46.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 41.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 39c | 40.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 57c | 36.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 39c | 35.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 62c | 33.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 40c | 30.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 61c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Under | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 58c | 20.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 62c | 16.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.