Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98bc68b1995dd888f45e9be163c9fe0bc3624e9888d4d656966e3a94f76cf62e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 19,659$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 8c | 15,863$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,205$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.32 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 6c | 2,999$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,792$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…4e3cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 6c | 1,644$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,563$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 7c | 864.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…437dbacked Yes | 6c | 833$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 7c | 817$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Yes | 7c | 710$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 4c | 578.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 570$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…23abbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…9d3ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…270bbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 7c | 463.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 4c | 420.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 6c | 355.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…902cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 7c | 326$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…94e9backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…eec4backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 6c | 242.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…3d37backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 8c | 206.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 6c | 206.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…bdc5backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…8682backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…de96backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…004abacked Yes | 9c | 110.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.