Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2913752a346ce84414a3129cbc4070f1de6d6cafc8279c209ab42eb68a119a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 23,682$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 5,425$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 6c | 5,142$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 6c | 4,350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 6c | 4,081$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 3,390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 4c | 3,229$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,844$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,695$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 7c | 1,540$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…e8bfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,167$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 1,136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,080$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 6c | 982.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 6c | 956.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 6c | 862.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 6c | 862.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 847.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…6c79backed Yes | 6c | 807.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 783.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 771$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…0e1abacked Yes | 6c | 756.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…232abacked Yes | 7c | 746.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 659.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 6c | 538.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 6c | 469.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 6c | 433.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…4650backed Yes | 7c | 425$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…5045backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f047backed Yes | 6c | 327.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 6c | 315.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 7c | 300.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 6c | 293.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…12dabacked Yes | 6c | 285$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…15a8backed Yes | 7c | 254.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf23f…af26backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…8d18backed Yes | 6c | 235.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 10c | 230$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…59a5backed Yes | 6c | 224.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…2762backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…0382backed Yes | 6c | 211.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…b584backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…37edbacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…35d3backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 162.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.