MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9903849acf0c2aef7d756b214f6397420b96280a094e4e9aa1bf043f5f4e7b5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 27c | 1,945$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.53 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 23c | 1,534$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 79c | 1,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 76c | 592.93$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 36c | 511$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 425$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked KT Wiz | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed LG Twins | 31c | 393.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed LG Twins | 35c | 360.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked LG Twins | 18c | 313.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed KT Wiz | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed KT Wiz | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed LG Twins | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 57c | 211.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed KT Wiz | 68c | 193$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 187.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 153.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 23c | 138.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed KT Wiz | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 56c | 100.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed KT Wiz | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed KT Wiz | 74c | 98.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KT Wiz | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed LG Twins | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 35c | 85.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 55c | 83.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 73.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KT Wiz | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 43c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed KT Wiz | 80c | 40.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 76c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed LG Twins | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed KT Wiz | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked KT Wiz | 68c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked LG Twins | 56c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed KT Wiz | 75c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed KT Wiz | 65c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.