CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2691e68225ba191653897ba92e2e7ddf6b8e803b820d07b99aceb57f1693c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof MOUZ NXT, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Ursa | 62c | 4,913$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.04 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Ursa | 76c | 2,314$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 24c | 1,882$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 64c | 778.61$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 745$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 716$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Ursa | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 588.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 580$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 506.28$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 499.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 450.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Ursa | 60c | 384.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Ursa | 62c | 310.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Ursa | 60c | 307.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 301.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 298.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 249.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 212.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 209.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Ursa | 62c | 200.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Ursa | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 16c | 194.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…52f0backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 63c | 155.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 149.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Ursa | 64c | 142.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 129.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 127.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 112.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 60c | 105.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ursa | 72c | 104.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 103.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 86.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Ursa | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 27c | 71.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Ursa | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 66.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Ursa | 61c | 57.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ NXT | 26c | 56.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Ursa | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…55a7backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 52.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 51.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 42.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Ursa | 64c | 39.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ursa | 60c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 37.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Ursa | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 28.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Ursa | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Ursa | 64c | 20.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.