CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0ce531784fd53c0a0962075733ae2b97d6bd327841490fdb53474e259aa2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed Ursa | 62c | 6,190$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Ursa | 78c | 5,305$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.03 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 5,043$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 3,529$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.26 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 3,451$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Ursa | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Ursa | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Ursa | 55c | 2,332$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.11 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 2,224$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.47 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 1,983$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Ursa | 54c | 1,818$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.56 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 1,812$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.85 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 1,132$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.59 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Ursa | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 866.03$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.22 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 63c | 780.21$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 721.48$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 715.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.05 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 59c | 655.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.29 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 645.36$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Ursa | 59c | 588.55$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 500$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 500$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 499.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 458.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.57 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Ursa | 54c | 449.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 436.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 412.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 405$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 404.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 404.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 377.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Ursa | 30c | 370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Ursa | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 352.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 43c | 349$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa | 38c | 337$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 316.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Ursa | 65c | 306.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ursa | 56c | 270.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Ursa | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Ursa | 70c | 239.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 223.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 220.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Ursa | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 201.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 201.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Ursa | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 194.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 7c | 190.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 186.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 183.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 181.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 62c | 181.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 176.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Ursa | 29c | 172.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Ursa | 23c | 159$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Ursa | 62c | 129.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed Ursa | 63c | 126.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa | 41c | 121$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…52f0backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 108.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Ursa | 55c | 106.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 104.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Ursa | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Ursa | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ursa | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 85.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Ursa | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 75.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 73.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 71.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 70.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 66.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Ursa | 51c | 64.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 60.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Ursa | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Ursa | 55c | 54.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 54.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Ursa | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Ursa | 58c | 41.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 41c | 41.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Ursa | 64c | 38.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed MOUZ NXT | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Ursa | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Ursa | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 30.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Ursa | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 29.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.