Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9acc04be23ecd2d047c95a9897658cb0f2702b1fc5a28b2e3ee806ec015fd86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 6,335$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.76 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 4,310$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.13 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 66c | 3,199$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Green Bay Phoenix | 30c | 2,743$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 2,166$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 1,568$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.56 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 1,016$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 59c | 701.91$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 567.06$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 566.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 405$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 340.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 297.11$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 287.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 267.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 33c | 260$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 252$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 238.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 230$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 36c | 226.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 202$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 175.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 174.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 150.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 132.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 108.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 107.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 98.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 94.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 56c | 59.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 53.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 50.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 49.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 47.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Green Bay Phoenix | 30c | 46.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…9f6bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 45.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 32c | 45.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 41.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 46c | 40.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 36.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 35.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…6be5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 32.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 21.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd03backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c4dabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…2e23backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.