WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b296dc9f31090d802b699a2d5a937f4f8a1b53ef66496ab0625cdae46ea83d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 20,906$11,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,762.13 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 16,741$12,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,886.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 8,453$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.84 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 3,826$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.64 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 2,961$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.21 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 2,745$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.43 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 2,504$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.87 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 1,627$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.88 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,538$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.75 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 1,385$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 1,199$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 1,009$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.08 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 941$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 13c | 837.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 835.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 824.13$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 7c | 713.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 670$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Las Vegas Aces | 19c | 656.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…67febacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 656.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 566.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 534$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 510.57$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 477.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 409.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Phoenix Mercury | 80c | 372.23$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Las Vegas Aces | 5c | 372.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Las Vegas Aces | 62c | 360.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 342.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 319.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 297.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 296.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 39c | 248.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 241.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 229.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 228.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 212.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 212.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 199.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 198.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 19c | 181.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 151.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 144.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 140.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…cd8abacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 135.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 134.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 128.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Las Vegas Aces | 24c | 125.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 124.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 111.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 111.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 106.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 102$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 97.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 86.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 56.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 51.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 48.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 47.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 47.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…bb13backed Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 38.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…c105backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 34.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…6049backed Phoenix Mercury | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.