Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b570cd0ffa23e88633f5150700899e395b66e1eb865164ad1c56249d3814b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris FCof Paris FC, AS Monaco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked AS Monaco FC | 75c | 5,548$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC | 20c | 3,622$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.18 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris FC | 68c | 1,508$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paris FC | 3c | 1,050$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked AS Monaco FC | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Paris FC | 73c | 540.78$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed AS Monaco FC | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 374.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed AS Monaco FC | 78c | 264.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed AS Monaco FC | 59c | 228.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Paris FC | 15c | 179.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Paris FC | 74c | 127.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AS Monaco FC | 24c | 111.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked AS Monaco FC | 77c | 98.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Paris FC | 21c | 76.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked AS Monaco FC | 65c | 75.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Paris FC | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AS Monaco FC | 31c | 64.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed AS Monaco FC | 77c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Paris FC | 63c | 34.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Paris FC | 39c | 34.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed AS Monaco FC | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked AS Monaco FC | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.