Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b18d746474281b2a3e6fb975ca73e7c3aad2ce02e3e4009047c61d8c872b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris FCof Paris FC, AS Monaco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC | 49c | 2,539$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.15 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC | 57c | 1,051$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.13 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed AS Monaco FC | 8c | 717.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Paris FC | 21c | 581.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed AS Monaco FC | 41c | 578.76$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AS Monaco FC | 27c | 328.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paris FC | 8c | 314.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.94 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 287.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Paris FC | 51c | 277.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed AS Monaco FC | 56c | 262.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Paris FC | 41c | 197.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Paris FC | 41c | 197.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed AS Monaco FC | 48c | 183.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked AS Monaco FC | 32c | 160.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 155.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Paris FC | 8c | 135.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Monaco FC | 35c | 131.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Paris FC | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Paris FC | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked AS Monaco FC | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed AS Monaco FC | 52c | 99.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Paris FC | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris FC | 62c | 71.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Paris FC | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Paris FC | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed AS Monaco FC | 56c | 59.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Paris FC | 49c | 54.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed AS Monaco FC | 68c | 52.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed AS Monaco FC | 57c | 49.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…538cbacked AS Monaco FC | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 48.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked AS Monaco FC | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked AS Monaco FC | 60c | 44.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked AS Monaco FC | 46c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Paris FC | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paris FC | 50c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Paris FC | 60c | 28.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Paris FC | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed AS Monaco FC | 52c | 23.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed AS Monaco FC | 46c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Paris FC | 61c | 22.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Paris FC | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Paris FC | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked AS Monaco FC | 55c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Paris FC | 60c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.