MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6d2abcbff44e672a1d2283b1e4eb85649c358b1cf8c3bd525b9ad13a7f8371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof NC Dinos, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd9…cd04backed NC Dinos | 47c | 11,063$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 52c | 4,550$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.86 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 53c | 3,016$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.69 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 55c | 1,320$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed NC Dinos | 28c | 884.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 54c | 753.05$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 25c | 609.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 45c | 581.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KT Wiz | 50c | 484.02$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.01 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 55c | 454.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 54c | 383.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed KT Wiz | 78c | 372$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NC Dinos | 19c | 354.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked NC Dinos | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NC Dinos | 14c | 267.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 250.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 29c | 225.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 44c | 200.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 66c | 171.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 159.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed NC Dinos | 50c | 154.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed KT Wiz | 58c | 150.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NC Dinos | 29c | 133.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed KT Wiz | 76c | 132.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed KT Wiz | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed KT Wiz | 56c | 114.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 106.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked NC Dinos | 14c | 102.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed KT Wiz | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 42c | 95.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NC Dinos | 28c | 93.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed NC Dinos | 21c | 85.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed KT Wiz | 57c | 79.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked NC Dinos | 19c | 74.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 57c | 69.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed KT Wiz | 79c | 67.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed NC Dinos | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 51.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 48.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KT Wiz | 69c | 48.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed KT Wiz | 58c | 40.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed NC Dinos | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed KT Wiz | 55c | 39.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed KT Wiz | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 57c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 45c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 55c | 27.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed NC Dinos | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…a0a2backed NC Dinos | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…75e3backed KT Wiz | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked NC Dinos | 44c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed KT Wiz | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…3ae5backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…4465backed KT Wiz | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…15c6backed KT Wiz | 59c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.