Tennis · resolved market
ITF Torino: Katerina Tsygourova vs Carlota Martinez Cirez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c465e24a5385bc8197922f1f712abfaf2a277d3c64990e1ccb5b7d3598fb7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katerina Tsygourovaof Katerina Tsygourova, Carlota Martinez Cirez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Katerina Tsygourova | 51c | 19,320$9,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.85 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 49c | 12,227$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 49c | 1,968$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.15 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 13c | 1,807$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 18c | 977.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 929.98$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Katerina Tsygourova | 50c | 823.97$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.29 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 48c | 526.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Katerina Tsygourova | 33c | 299.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 33c | 290.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 37c | 125.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 58c | 98.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Katerina Tsygourova | 42c | 98.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 50c | 98.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 92.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 48c | 86.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 33c | 68.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Katerina Tsygourova | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 39c | 61.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 48c | 54.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 44c | 54.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 48c | 41.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 64c | 39.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 29c | 36.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 64c | 34.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 62c | 28.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…0cecbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Katerina Tsygourova | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Katerina Tsygourova | 67c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.