Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc1da807d1b10d2b959d81a3a5a5f483a967752557dd330e395332275b4c159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Merida Aguilarof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mackenzie McDonald | 28c | 10,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald | 8c | 5,328$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.3 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 3,660$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.74 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 3,539$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.95 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 74c | 2,104$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Mackenzie McDonald | 6c | 1,942$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 1,190$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 8c | 1,092$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…4e6fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 8c | 735$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 698.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 553.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Mackenzie McDonald | 6c | 524.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Mackenzie McDonald | 7c | 511.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 484.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 422$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…8cdabacked Mackenzie McDonald | 5c | 419.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 417.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…fa0bbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 402.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 45c | 329.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 326.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 20c | 261.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Mackenzie McDonald | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 9c | 208$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 180.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 43c | 171.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…f016backed Mackenzie McDonald | 12c | 162.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 142.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 136.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mackenzie McDonald | 9c | 135.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27aa…3680backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 13c | 130.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 12c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 38c | 109$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 107.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 102.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…a087backed Mackenzie McDonald | 13c | 102.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +18.4wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 42c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 12c | 93.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 75c | 89.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 88.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 78.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 72.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Mackenzie McDonald | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.