MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d149ae079cea36939f8112f08713069dc941e15e6b16f00f9d236b0953c68ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof NC Dinos, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 58c | 1,926$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.93 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 11c | 956.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed NC Dinos | 35c | 569.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 14c | 504.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 16c | 480.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed NC Dinos | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos | 42c | 427.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.35 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed KT Wiz | 56c | 420.76$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 344.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 21c | 332.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed NC Dinos | 42c | 240.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…a7b2backed NC Dinos | 28c | 193.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 19c | 187$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed NC Dinos | 37c | 184.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed KT Wiz | 59c | 151$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed NC Dinos | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NC Dinos | 13c | 128$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 41c | 118.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 111.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 101.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NC Dinos | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed NC Dinos | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 70c | 93.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…25a7backed KT Wiz | 67c | 89.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 13c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 42c | 85.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 68.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed NC Dinos | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 42c | 55.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 41c | 52.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 60c | 50.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 43c | 44.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed NC Dinos | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed KT Wiz | 65c | 38.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 56c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked KT Wiz | 57c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…e438backed KT Wiz | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…955ebacked NC Dinos | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…04c8backed KT Wiz | 58c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked KT Wiz | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.