Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd97da352306512cf5a45848ccdff03718350d8609426c56ecbeb6cb2c8c4d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 12c | 739.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.18 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 388.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 70c | 369.11$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 5c | 359.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 34c | 347.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 294.26$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 68c | 294$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 283.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 31c | 277.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 37c | 258.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 257.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 78c | 228.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 30c | 221.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 217.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 70c | 194$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 23c | 177.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 31c | 176.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 16c | 173.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 70c | 166.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 157.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 153.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 25c | 127.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 25c | 126.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 124.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 32c | 117.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 70c | 112.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 105.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed No | 79c | 98.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…841cbacked No | 13c | 97.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cbc8backed Yes | 33c | 96.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 31c | 94.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 68c | 92.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 88.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 86.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 80.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 25c | 79.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 68.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 65.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 64.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 75c | 57.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 56c | 55.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 20c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…0149backed Yes | 31c | 45.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed No | 76c | 45.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 35c | 42.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 75c | 39.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ad…a131backed Yes | 31c | 39.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 69c | 39.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 70c | 38.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes | 29c | 35.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…b061backed No | 70c | 34.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…293cbacked Yes | 33c | 33.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 72c | 33.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 30.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…d445backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 64c | 29.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…f215backed No | 72c | 29.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…7e2fbacked No | 70c | 27.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 75c | 27.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 80c | 25.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…674ebacked No | 71c | 21.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 75c | 20.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…a1a5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…757fbacked No | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.