Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fbb1b6023c6b7d49ca1ca582562a2008d30d1898c578f8c71ae09e71d9dd093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 958.14$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.81 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 73c | 776.25$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 46c | 581.87$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 39c | 463.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 52c | 386.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 40c | 375.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 71c | 357.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 71c | 283.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 67c | 275.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 267.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 58c | 239.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 48c | 203.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 24c | 198.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 71c | 196.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…79a5backed Yes | 71c | 183.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 49c | 172.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 153.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 153.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 52c | 141.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 138.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 49c | 125.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 50c | 115.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 52c | 104.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 389 | 30.3%118 W · 271 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 69c | 103.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 103.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2897backed Yes | 71c | 99.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 33c | 95.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 39c | 94.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 40c | 94.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…2650backed Yes | 79c | 80.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 88 | 77.3%68 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 35c | 77.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 67c | 74.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 27c | 72.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 74c | 66.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 64.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 58c | 64.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 34c | 62.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 30c | 60.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 33c | 57.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 70c | 54.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…90edbacked Yes | 71c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 70c | 50.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 35c | 49.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 62c | 47.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes | 33c | 46.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 33c | 46.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 65c | 46.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 72c | 46.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 33c | 42.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed No | 38c | 35.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 73c | 34.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 71c | 31.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 36c | 30.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…4174backed Yes | 65c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…fb33backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…e428backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 37c | 27.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 64c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 67c | 20.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 67c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 75c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.