Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Milos Karol vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01d2e4b9cc84e530c4b4a45641f95c50616afaa596012a40f66c3a4a8a3acfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Milos Karol, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milos Karol | 37c | 16,642$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 13,045$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.17 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 6,513$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.82 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 4,655$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.98 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Milos Karol | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milos Karol | 44c | 1,377$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.63 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 1,351$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.86 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Milos Karol | 44c | 999.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 985.22$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 800.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milos Karol | 29c | 707.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Milos Karol | 3c | 660.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Milos Karol | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milos Karol | 21c | 367.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 344.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Milos Karol | 12c | 343.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Milos Karol | 18c | 264.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Milos Karol | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Milos Karol | 33c | 247$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 236.47$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 172.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Milos Karol | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Milos Karol | 36c | 142.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…0256backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Milos Karol | 30c | 130.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 108.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Milos Karol | 38c | 92.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Milos Karol | 42c | 90.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Milos Karol | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milos Karol | 45c | 86.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milos Karol | 31c | 85.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 83.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Milos Karol | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Milos Karol | 27c | 74.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milos Karol | 44c | 73.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Milos Karol | 16c | 67.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 67.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…ade7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 64.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…aadfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 61.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milos Karol | 33c | 59.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Milos Karol | 22c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 56.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 55.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Milos Karol | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…2e16backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Milos Karol | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 43.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 36.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…567cbacked Milos Karol | 39c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…c85fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…61b6backed Milos Karol | 43c | 26.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Milos Karol | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 19.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.