Fifa International · resolved market
Japan to score first vs. Tunisia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05801bfb58e5757aca626ba5a88bb60ae20b3fdcf7ff3b726b0f0e8124fb997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 5,759$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.43 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 3,793$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 29c | 3,204$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.13 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 71c | 2,535$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.21 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 30c | 2,251$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.42 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 29c | 1,402$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…74a5backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 53cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 1,332$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 71c | 1,276$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 29c | 1,213$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.24 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 240 | 46.3%111 W · 129 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 1,048$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 28c | 1,017$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 31c | 965.69$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Yes | 71c | 952.38$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.07 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Yes | 72c | 733.03$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 730.05$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 30c | 649.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 29c | 597.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 72c | 516.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 30c | 428.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 69c | 323$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 71c | 210.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 31c | 161.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…dd68backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 28c | 130.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 30c | 111.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 30c | 107.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 32c | 99.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 30c | 93.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…6fe5backed Yes | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…ee9dbacked Yes | 72c | 69.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…2b97backed Yes | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…1685backed Yes | 70c | 52.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19b2backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 257 | 54.5%140 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…e226backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…3410backed No | 31c | 36.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…526fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…c055backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…4fe9backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…3ab2backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…f6b0backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ef4abacked Yes | 70c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan to score first vs. Tunisia?this page
- Tunisia to score first vs. Japan?No won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.