MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09663d066cddc3597293bc1a51420a14092dd8d43a443c877a391c535c2a459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 1,197$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 999.98$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.91 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lotte Giants | 2c | 923.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 704.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.34 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 474.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 341.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 328.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 292.62$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 270.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 6c | 252.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 206$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 202.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 146.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 108.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 108$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 103.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 99.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 99.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 93.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 84.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 82.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 66.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 39.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 34.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 34.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…6e2fbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…fd99backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…e7ccbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…17febacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…066abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…aad7backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6cb6backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…513dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ff88backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…ef5abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…735ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…308cbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…72d8backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…8663backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…f801backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…b5a2backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.