TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul: Maria Timofeeva vs Francesca Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Francesca Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb85…8464backed Francesca Jones13c14,647$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Maria Timofeeva38c6,022$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.314,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Jones26c5,730$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.798,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Maria Timofeeva44c5,372$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.3527148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva48c4,653$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Maria Timofeeva35c3,184$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.4739238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones52c2,376$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Francesca Jones53c1,764$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.732,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Maria Timofeeva39c1,661$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.8366139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Francesca Jones48c1,659$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.7811462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Timofeeva58c1,420$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.456,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Francesca Jones63c1,254$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Maria Timofeeva51c1,141$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.951,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Francesca Jones46c956.91$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4793740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Francesca Jones61c956.49$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.71,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Francesca Jones8c939.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.361,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Maria Timofeeva76c824.5$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.682759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva73c734.44$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.394,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Francesca Jones50c680.2$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.117649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Maria Timofeeva57c669.86$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5780341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maria Timofeeva63c650.19$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.925,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Maria Timofeeva43c610.95$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.243839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Francesca Jones63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Francesca Jones44c596.43$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7521560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francesca Jones23c591.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Maria Timofeeva43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.498240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Francesca Jones45c577.55$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.269,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Maria Timofeeva47c562.53$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3157447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8e…eaa2backed Francesca Jones60c440$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Maria Timofeeva64c432.36$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.726131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Francesca Jones54c400.82$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.97,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maria Timofeeva79c254.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Francesca Jones56c249.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.61,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Maria Timofeeva78c222$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8430639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Francesca Jones53c215.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.930339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Timofeeva78c209.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.053,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb1…3c8abacked Francesca Jones7c196.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Francesca Jones32c179.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.621,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesca Jones75c166.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.497,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Francesca Jones32c158.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9819851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Maria Timofeeva51c155.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5916258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3112…de6abacked Francesca Jones80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202470.8%17 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Francesca Jones25c140.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9430672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Maria Timofeeva44c116.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2943067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Maria Timofeeva43c114.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5411632.8%38 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maria Timofeeva70c109.73$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.451,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Francesca Jones66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Jones22c104.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.98,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Maria Timofeeva44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Maria Timofeeva51c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.536426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Francesca Jones31c95.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesca Jones45c91.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.614,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Maria Timofeeva31c90.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.318033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Jones43c86.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Maria Timofeeva50c84.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.156642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Francesca Jones43c84.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Francesca Jones75c82.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5325763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Francesca Jones37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Francesca Jones46c76.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.321,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Francesca Jones55c72.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Maria Timofeeva72c70.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7241850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Maria Timofeeva48c68.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Francesca Jones24c67.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.028721.8%19 W · 68 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Maria Timofeeva64c62.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Francesca Jones61c61.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.321,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Francesca Jones62c59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Francesca Jones80c54.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Maria Timofeeva73c52.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Francesca Jones56c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Francesca Jones69c50.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Francesca Jones74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3733364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Maria Timofeeva72c48.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.626933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa324…7ffebacked Maria Timofeeva43c46.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Maria Timofeeva33c44.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8431…ee9cbacked Francesca Jones26c42.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.992035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9758…4721backed Francesca Jones37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Francesca Jones37c37.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.754,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Francesca Jones63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8642350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Francesca Jones35c31.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.819863.3%62 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Maria Timofeeva44c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2932935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Maria Timofeeva67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Francesca Jones74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Francesca Jones62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Maria Timofeeva50c21.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9717460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d1e…366ebacked Francesca Jones68c15.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Maria Timofeeva74c15.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9279951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb3…d689backed Francesca Jones80c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.