Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16347eb86e477cae18ef7c69b232c64c32972195521c2362f691f31647552ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Pellegrinoof Carlo Alberto Caniato, Andrea Pellegrino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 23c | 2,186$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.01 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Andrea Pellegrino | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 73c | 1,374$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.12 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 27c | 584.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 510.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 27c | 503.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 11c | 418.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 71c | 323.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 312.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 24c | 311.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Andrea Pellegrino | 72c | 278.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 78c | 268.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 220.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 29c | 217.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Pellegrino | 72c | 199.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 13c | 199.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 193.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 140.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 32c | 129.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 29c | 125.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 17c | 117.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 30c | 64.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 32c | 56.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 29c | 54.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 70c | 53.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Andrea Pellegrino | 71c | 47.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Andrea Pellegrino | 71c | 46.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 31c | 41.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Carlo Alberto Caniato | 31c | 40.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Carlo Alberto Caniato | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Andrea Pellegrino | 72c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 27.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 69c | 24.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Andrea Pellegrino | 71c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 67c | 16.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrinothis page
- Caniato vs. Pellegrino: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Caniato vs PellegrinoPellegrino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.