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Tennis · resolved market

Santiago: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Benjamin Torrealba

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felipe Meligeni Alvesof Felipe Meligeni Alves, Benjamin Torrealba
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,941 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x046c…2a9cbacked Benjamin Torrealba66c7,528$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Benjamin Torrealba13c6,504$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves77c4,142$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8124557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Benjamin Torrealba15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Felipe Meligeni Alves54c1,983$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.347357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Benjamin Torrealba12c1,913$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5871725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves72c1,642$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Benjamin Torrealba46c1,291$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Benjamin Torrealba21c1,216$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25099639.9%397 W · 599 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Benjamin Torrealba19c860.74$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Benjamin Torrealba22c859.74$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9921720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee5…2e04backed Felipe Meligeni Alves47c675.94$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Felipe Meligeni Alves33c586.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.972,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b14…4e3bbacked Benjamin Torrealba15c451.19$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.411136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Benjamin Torrealba7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves63c379.96$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Benjamin Torrealba27c358.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Benjamin Torrealba16c308.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.016,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves77c278.35$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5722033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Benjamin Torrealba43c272.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.326,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Benjamin Torrealba18c267.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves49c227.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8744038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Benjamin Torrealba18c218.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.784,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Benjamin Torrealba24c212.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Benjamin Torrealba16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Felipe Meligeni Alves65c183.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1768026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Benjamin Torrealba30c174.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2638147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Benjamin Torrealba30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Benjamin Torrealba38c143.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Benjamin Torrealba23c135.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.363,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Benjamin Torrealba46c128.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5996135.4%340 W · 621 L-40.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Benjamin Torrealba52c115.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8311650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Benjamin Torrealba20c112.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves46c109.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.561,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Felipe Meligeni Alves48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1730351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4046932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Benjamin Torrealba28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2728247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Benjamin Torrealba48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.084,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Benjamin Torrealba28c96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f60…a419backed Felipe Meligeni Alves70c94.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Benjamin Torrealba19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.218541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Benjamin Torrealba27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Benjamin Torrealba56c72.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Felipe Meligeni Alves65c72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.240141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Benjamin Torrealba22c68.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves74c67.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8210967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves78c58.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves68c58.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5717859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Felipe Meligeni Alves69c55.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Benjamin Torrealba42c55.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.289,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Benjamin Torrealba19c52.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0754434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ef9…916abacked Benjamin Torrealba21c50.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.877841%32 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3031853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Benjamin Torrealba30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Benjamin Torrealba48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5225957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Felipe Meligeni Alves77c43.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Benjamin Torrealba25c43.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1827552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Benjamin Torrealba45c32.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Benjamin Torrealba35c31.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves72c30.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.548,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…be63backed Benjamin Torrealba46c30.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Felipe Meligeni Alves46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.216959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Felipe Meligeni Alves79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.967,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Felipe Meligeni Alves71c22.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.657263.9%46 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.164944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Benjamin Torrealba60c19.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8068…f1d7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Felipe Meligeni Alves63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.929562.1%59 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1610967%73 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Felipe Meligeni Alves78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.321072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be0…26aebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086a…0855backed Felipe Meligeni Alves80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.