Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Evansville Aces vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43182a6b48379dec6a1cbf1a0c8bb4abcb0817c1ab9c3258ef4fa369c2fa19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evansville Acesof Evansville Aces, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Evansville Aces | 29c | 1,723$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.31 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 1,499$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.94 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Evansville Aces | 27c | 1,242$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.83 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 23c | 1,080$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 72c | 1,035$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.07 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Evansville Aces | 29c | 774.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 759.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 71c | 648.06$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Evansville Aces | 30c | 631.06$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.62 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 544.78$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 486.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.51 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Indiana State Sycamores | 69c | 400.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 374.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 60c | 350.66$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Evansville Aces | 32c | 347.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Indiana State Sycamores | 75c | 270.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 74c | 227.8$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 220.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 191.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 62c | 166.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evansville Aces | 35c | 150.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Evansville Aces | 41c | 141.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 115.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Indiana State Sycamores | 49c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Indiana State Sycamores | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 73.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Evansville Aces | 35c | 60.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 64c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Evansville Aces | 47c | 44.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed Indiana State Sycamores | 75c | 39.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Indiana State Sycamores | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 60c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Indiana State Sycamores | 76c | 21.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Evansville Aces | 75c | 21.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…14ebbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Evansville Aces vs. Indiana State Sycamoresthis page
- Evansville Aces vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 142.5Under won
- Evansville Aces vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-7.5)Evansville Aces won
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-8.5)Evansville Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.