Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a885404467ef96008a50619750224b22c22a516a1753a4a691666bd53ce8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Fonseca, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fonseca | 0c | 14,687$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Zandschulp | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 682 | 49.6%338 W · 344 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fonseca | 53c | 4,719$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.18 | 1,218 | 49.2%599 W · 619 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Fonseca | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fonseca | 41c | 1,805$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.34 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Fonseca | 67c | 1,578$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.32 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp | 51c | 1,383$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zandschulp | 34c | 1,247$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.6 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Fonseca | 67c | 1,214$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zandschulp | 33c | 1,060$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.19 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Fonseca | 53c | 980$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp | 43c | 893.18$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.34 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 57c | 580.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Fonseca | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Fonseca | 70c | 518.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.16 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Fonseca | 67c | 450.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Zandschulp | 39c | 444$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fonseca | 50c | 416.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.51 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Fonseca | 26c | 399$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Zandschulp | 34c | 337.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fonseca | 56c | 299.91$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fonseca | 65c | 299$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Zandschulp | 39c | 298.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Fonseca | 66c | 258.23$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Fonseca | 63c | 256.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Fonseca | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Zandschulp | 44c | 158.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Fonseca | 68c | 155.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fonseca | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Zandschulp | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Fonseca | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp | 47c | 142.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Fonseca | 59c | 142.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Zandschulp | 22c | 132.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zandschulp | 47c | 126.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Fonseca | 42c | 122.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Fonseca | 62c | 112.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Zandschulp | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…843ebacked Fonseca | 63c | 94.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fonseca | 40c | 75.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Zandschulp | 36c | 73.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Fonseca | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Zandschulp | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Fonseca | 52c | 56.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Zandschulp | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,250 | 46.2%578 W · 672 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Fonseca | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fonseca | 58c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Zandschulp | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp | 49c | 37.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,356 | 46.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…fd01backed Zandschulp | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Fonseca | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…add3backed Fonseca | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.