Tennis · resolved market
ITF Santa Fe: Hina Inoue vs Kate Fakih
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f2713156869e5b74c6831c79bd9a0b2162f8c28ed65b0af18448fed94e41ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hina Inoueof Hina Inoue, Kate Fakih
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kate Fakih | 15c | 2,558$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kate Fakih | 31c | 1,383$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Hina Inoue | 35c | 1,342$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.51 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Hina Inoue | 31c | 599.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.22 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kate Fakih | 31c | 531.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kate Fakih | 17c | 521.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kate Fakih | 31c | 435.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Hina Inoue | 18c | 406.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.95 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Hina Inoue | 69c | 398$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Kate Fakih | 32c | 396.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Hina Inoue | 21c | 324.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hina Inoue | 68c | 306.9$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hina Inoue | 56c | 203.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Hina Inoue | 67c | 202$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hina Inoue | 30c | 198.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kate Fakih | 30c | 181$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hina Inoue | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Kate Fakih | 61c | 123.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Hina Inoue | 36c | 113$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Kate Fakih | 33c | 112$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Hina Inoue | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kate Fakih | 21c | 98.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Hina Inoue | 69c | 91.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Kate Fakih | 35c | 84.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hina Inoue | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Kate Fakih | 66c | 80.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kate Fakih | 32c | 79.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hina Inoue | 72c | 78.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kate Fakih | 37c | 72.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Kate Fakih | 28c | 70.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Hina Inoue | 28c | 59.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kate Fakih | 23c | 59.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hina Inoue | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kate Fakih | 33c | 54.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Hina Inoue | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kate Fakih | 42c | 50.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kate Fakih | 69c | 49.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Kate Fakih | 42c | 48.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Kate Fakih | 26c | 46.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Hina Inoue | 68c | 40.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kate Fakih | 42c | 35.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Hina Inoue | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hina Inoue | 32c | 33.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Hina Inoue | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hina Inoue | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kate Fakih | 44c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Kate Fakih | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Kate Fakih | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…6bf7backed Kate Fakih | 68c | 20.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Hina Inoue | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.