Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53fe86ce02aa144ed69670adb60d6a00b31ab2659beb5de46a43496d85dcac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$7,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked No | 21c | 4,238$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 3,849$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 19c | 3,351$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.75 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 1,519$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 1,376$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 1,297$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed No | 21c | 1,003$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed Yes | 67c | 674.01$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 21c | 419.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 19c | 314$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 20c | 312.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 77c | 233.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 58c | 192.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 66c | 150.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 40c | 150.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 143.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked No | 46c | 125.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 59c | 107.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 30c | 93.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 80.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 46c | 64.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 60.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 28c | 51.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 21c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 21c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 21c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 21c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 21c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 42c | 46.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 46.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 45c | 44.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 43.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 41.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 58c | 36.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…7615backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 80c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.