Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Danilina/Krunic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bd9935c97105b01b290ed6c68bb8e6281024e52029bd77d736d75f255b6969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siniakova/Townsendof Siniakova/Townsend, Danilina/Krunic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 9,366$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Danilina/Krunic | 26c | 7,977$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.86 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Danilina/Krunic | 14c | 2,416$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.22 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Danilina/Krunic | 14c | 1,076$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Danilina/Krunic | 18c | 878.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Siniakova/Townsend | 75c | 830.42$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Danilina/Krunic | 28c | 806.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 680.03$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…ba8bbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 643.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Danilina/Krunic | 26c | 638.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Danilina/Krunic | 20c | 394.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 375$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Danilina/Krunic | 22c | 375$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…12ccbacked Danilina/Krunic | 24c | 338.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb488…1320backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 319.01$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Danilina/Krunic | 21c | 314.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 245.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Danilina/Krunic | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 138.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 101.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…0d2abacked Danilina/Krunic | 16c | 100.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…a7bcbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Siniakova/Townsend | 74c | 99.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 94.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Danilina/Krunic | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 70.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Danilina/Krunic | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Danilina/Krunic | 22c | 60.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Danilina/Krunic | 21c | 54.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…9431backed Siniakova/Townsend | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Siniakova/Townsend | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 37.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 391 | 54.2%212 W · 179 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3273backed Siniakova/Townsend | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…65fbbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 23.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 22.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 228 | 76.8%175 W · 53 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 22.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 142 | 78.2%111 W · 31 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Siniakova/Townsend | 77c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Siniakova/Townsend | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Siniakova/Townsend | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Siniakova/Townsend | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.