Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6580249bf75b38f72492537dc9216c5ba391e0394fdf67eab2712e0a3d636df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rice Owlsof Rice Owls, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina Pirates | 1c | 4,199$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rice Owls | 43c | 1,957$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rice Owls | 77c | 1,775$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed East Carolina Pirates | 21c | 1,767$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked East Carolina Pirates | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 1,348$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Rice Owls | 45c | 1,070$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Rice Owls | 62c | 967$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rice Owls | 60c | 733.02$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Carolina Pirates | 43c | 705.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rice Owls | 69c | 637$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed East Carolina Pirates | 34c | 580$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed East Carolina Pirates | 29c | 570.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed East Carolina Pirates | 41c | 525.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked East Carolina Pirates | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Rice Owls | 42c | 476.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Rice Owls | 67c | 395$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed East Carolina Pirates | 38c | 358.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed East Carolina Pirates | 58c | 345.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…9bdfbacked Rice Owls | 56c | 323.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Carolina Pirates | 53c | 319.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed East Carolina Pirates | 57c | 276.52$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina Pirates | 46c | 238.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked East Carolina Pirates | 38c | 237.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Rice Owls | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed East Carolina Pirates | 22c | 204.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 176.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 42c | 151.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rice Owls | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Rice Owls | 46c | 130.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rice Owls | 44c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 56c | 109.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rice Owls | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rice Owls | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…b08ebacked Rice Owls | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rice Owls | 58c | 83.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed East Carolina Pirates | 57c | 83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 21c | 78.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rice Owls | 51c | 63.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 45.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Rice Owls | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 33.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Rice Owls | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Rice Owls | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Rice Owls | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed East Carolina Pirates | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Rice Owls | 55c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.