Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Alan Magadan vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6737ae43870d93ede2f284d22709f9441238171ee371860ac5c44d88e866b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Alan Magadan, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3798…2ac6backed Matias Soto | 59c | 40,374$23,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,739.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alan Magadan | 42c | 18,007$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638.06 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alan Magadan | 32c | 16,829$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.7 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alan Magadan | 42c | 9,840$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.2 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…2d39backed Alan Magadan | 15c | 2,142$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto | 68c | 1,688$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.63 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matias Soto | 59c | 1,516$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.77 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matias Soto | 64c | 1,407$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alan Magadan | 9c | 1,369$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alan Magadan | 38c | 1,288$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.95 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alan Magadan | 37c | 1,235$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.33 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Matias Soto | 55c | 1,095$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.73 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alan Magadan | 66c | 999.79$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.42 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matias Soto | 32c | 808.95$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.67 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alan Magadan | 25c | 620.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alan Magadan | 22c | 480.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Alan Magadan | 21c | 467.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alan Magadan | 38c | 399.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Alan Magadan | 36c | 379.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Alan Magadan | 37c | 332.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 327 | 55%180 W · 147 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alan Magadan | 25c | 311.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alan Magadan | 37c | 223.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…a851backed Alan Magadan | 48c | 219.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Alan Magadan | 38c | 217.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Alan Magadan | 35c | 215.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alan Magadan | 51c | 144.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Matias Soto | 53c | 141.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alan Magadan | 58c | 122.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alan Magadan | 36c | 118.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Matias Soto | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alan Magadan | 30c | 106.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alan Magadan | 38c | 102.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Matias Soto | 50c | 100.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matias Soto | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matias Soto | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matias Soto | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Matias Soto | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Matias Soto | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Matias Soto | 50c | 86.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Matias Soto | 60c | 81.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Matias Soto | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Alan Magadan | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Matias Soto | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alan Magadan | 21c | 73.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alan Magadan | 55c | 70.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matias Soto | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alan Magadan | 48c | 56.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Matias Soto | 36c | 54.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Matias Soto | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Matias Soto | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Alan Magadan | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Matias Soto | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Alan Magadan | 57c | 44.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Matias Soto | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Alan Magadan | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alan Magadan | 35c | 38.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Matias Soto | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alan Magadan | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Matias Soto | 69c | 36.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Matias Soto | 48c | 35.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alan Magadan | 37c | 34.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Alan Magadan | 33c | 33.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Alan Magadan | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matias Soto | 63c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Alan Magadan | 40c | 28.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Matias Soto | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Matias Soto | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Matias Soto | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 310 | 53.5%166 W · 144 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alan Magadan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alan Magadan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matias Soto | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Matias Soto | 59c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Alan Magadan vs Matias Sotothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Magadan vs SotoSoto won
- Set Handicap: Soto (-1.5) vs Magadan (+1.5)Soto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.