MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e8c28b6d9143879d569effbb7d4d7bc4a1aaee346c28fc7a9150fbeb019c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Royals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 0c | 31,598$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Twins | 62c | 31,019$19,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,779.24 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 38c | 17,944$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,821.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.99 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 38c | 8,508$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 38c | 6,596$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Royals | 38c | 4,211$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.65 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 39c | 3,988$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Twins | 61c | 3,627$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.6 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 37c | 2,091$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.05 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Twins | 64c | 2,010$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Royals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 38c | 1,197$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.89 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 37c | 1,128$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Royals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 42c | 977.14$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Royals | 42c | 725$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 44c | 667.33$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals | 39c | 646.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 64c | 542$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 39c | 514.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Royals | 39c | 490.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 39c | 481.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Twins | 61c | 425.64$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 36c | 373.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Twins | 64c | 310.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Royals | 46c | 289.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Royals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Royals | 36c | 255$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 40c | 247.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Twins | 55c | 225.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Royals | 37c | 217.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Royals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals | 47c | 167.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Twins | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Twins | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 45c | 157.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…6a71backed Royals | 37c | 131.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Twins | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…30b4backed Royals | 37c | 129.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Royals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Royals | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 38c | 91.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…215ebacked Twins | 64c | 83.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Royals | 37c | 81.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…8a3fbacked Twins | 64c | 76.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…8dcebacked Twins | 64c | 74.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…ce6bbacked Royals | 37c | 72.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…2afdbacked Twins | 64c | 71.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Twins | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Royals | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…4519backed Twins | 64c | 59.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Twins | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Royals | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Royals | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Royals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Twins | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Royals | 35c | 40.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 60c | 39.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Twins | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Royals | 37c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Twins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5245backed Royals | 37c | 31.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…d9ebbacked Royals | 37c | 27.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…577bbacked Twins | 64c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 55c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…9606backed Twins | 64c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Twins | 64c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…6473backed Twins | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Twins | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.